How to prepare your family to survive and thrive in todays uncertain world

Crazy Weather

Weather this year has been completely wacky. Throughout the country we’ve got ridiculously high temperatures and low precipitation.

I’ve written before about the impacts that this has had throughout the food production chain. It isn’t trivial. And will continue to impact us for a year at least, maybe more. That’s the problem with long term production chains … an early impact (corn feed for beef, for example) can take a year or more to work through the system (how long till that cow is ready?)

Of course we’ll see immediate impacts, because of the laws of supply and demand. Ranchers slaughter their cows early to avoid the feed price increases. Beef prices drop due to a glut of supply. Herd sizes shrink, causing low supply next year, and beef prices skyrocket.

Go figure.

Yet here, we’ve had a COLD summer, and wet as well. I looked at the weather record so far this month, and we haven’t hit average temperatures at ALL in July. Not even once.

And it’s been WET. Tonight it was POURING. My tomatos and peppers are very unhappy.

As my beloved wife says on occasion, we shouldn’t be wearing sweatshirts in July.

It just goes to show that you can’t predict the future and how it will affect you. And just because it affects you one way doesn’t mean it’ll hit everyone like that. Just like weather in Kansas vs here in Seattle.

And since you can’t predict what will happen, predict the most likely scenario(s) and then figure out what happens if you’re wrong. And account for that as well.

So think about that as you lay in your preps and make your plans and build your self resilience systems. Produce your own stuff, and lay in stores for the stuff you can’t produce. At worst, you smooth out those supply and demand curves…

Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...

3 Responses to Crazy Weather

  1. Tell me about it! Last year, here in Houston and in all of Texas, we had record heat, forest fires and drought. This year, so far, we are a couple of inches above our average rainfall with moderate and average temps, generally. Texas cattlemen sold off their herds to other producers, mainly in the eastern US, or sent them to market because of the drought and lack of or prohibitively expensive hay. This year, some parts of Texas, mainly the western half, are still in, at least, a moderate drought so cattle production is down again.

  2. My dad use to raise beef in the 1960’s, and I have recently stopped raising beef for the family, due to the
    high cost of hay. I have kept only a few head to clear off the dry grass for fire protection. Since these are pets
    they will not go on the table. I know to purchase a high grade 1/2 beef we will be looking at $1300 to $1500 for the meat, and that includes the butchering. Yes, that high! The butcher gets $1.20 per pound, a beefs hanging weight can easely be 700 to 800(whole). The ranchers on average get $2.25 and up per pound, no, that is not high considering the two years of raising and feeding the animal and all the care that goes into the livestock before it is sold.

    • The last beef I bought was about six months or so ago, I think.

      We paid about 2.75/lb, and .50ish for cut/wrap. Kill fee was around $50.

      Haven’t looked at prices recently though.